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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-06-10T13:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-06-10T13:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5733/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-06-14T09:02Z (-9.5h, +18.63h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: COMESEP
Prediction Method Note: 
CME geomagnetic storm forecast send by RWC/SIDC - HVAR has issued the following GeomagneticStorm alert with impact risk evaluated as medium.

Details on the above alert can be found hereafter.

Best Regards,

COMESEP Alert system.

=== COMESEP Alert Identity ===
20140611104902.ppjnlKPhOX@cmegeomagneticforecasttool

=== Comesep Alert Info ===
Alert id: 20140611104902.ppjnlKPhOX@cmegeomagneticforecasttool
Status:normal
AlertIdAction: new
Emitter: CME geomagnetic storm forecast send by RWC/SIDC - HVAR
Emitter HRef: http://www.comesep.eu
Emitter Version: 1.0
Subject: The risk level for a CME geomagnetic storm is MEDIUM following the observation of a CME that erupted at 08:00 on 2014-06-10 UTC. The risk level results from the following forecasted parameters: 1) occurrence probability: LIKELY 2) storm level: MINOR
SubjectTopic: GeomagneticStorm

=== Comesep Alert Target ===
Target: Sun
ReceivedAt: 11-06-2014 10:49
AtEarliest: 13-06-2014 23:44
AtStrongest: 14-06-2014 09:02
AtLatest: 15-06-2014 03:38

=== Comesep Alert Impact 1 ===
ImpactType: Geomagnetic
Severity: Minor
Probability: Likely
Confidence: 0.3

=== Comesep Alert Details ===

=== Comesep Alert Parent-Child Hierarchy ===
Root Alert 1 is CME produced by cactus received at 11-06-2014 10:45
has id 201406111045.ILG9y31chTCzd2@titus.oma.be
Child Alert 2 is CME produced by dbm received at 11-06-2014 10:45
has id 14331.1402483536@oh.geof.unizg.hr
Parent of child alert 2 is alert 1
Child Alert 3 is GeomagneticStorm produced by cgft received at 11-06-2014 10:49
has id 20140611104902.ppjnlKPhOX@cmegeomagneticforecasttool (is current alert)
Parent of child alert 3 is alert 1
Parent of child alert 3 is alert 2

=== Notify Header ===
Subscription address: http://subscription
Producer address: http://producer
Topic dialect: http://dialect
Topic name: CME/CGFT/new

== DISCLAIMER ==
COMESEP makes no warranties or representations as to its accuracy and COMESEP specifically disclaims any liability
or responsibility for any errors or omissions in the content on the website, as well as the alerts that are sent out.
Neither COMESEP nor any other party involved in creating, producing, or delivering information that is used in the COMESEP
alert system is liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of your access to,
or use of, or inability to use or access, the website and/or the alerts that are sent out.

This file has been generated on 11-06-2014 10:49 by Comesep dispatcher at www.comesep.eu/alert
Lead Time: 70.22 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-06-11T10:49Z
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